话题:2025 年:“东亚奇迹” 的关键一年
Passage 1
Nearly 30 years ago the World Bank published a famous report titled “The East Asia Miracle”. It told an uplifting story of 1.____ East Asian economies had transitioned from poverty after World War II to modern middle - income status. The formula was industrialization and urbanization, moving people from paddy fields to factories, 2.____ (help) by government incentives and controlled exchange rates. This process took advantage of resources from the Southern Hemisphere and the rich markets in North America, 3.____ (make) life better for local people, with Western consumers also 4.____ (benefit).
The real power of this development spurt can be seen over the last four decades with China’s huge growth. China, 5.____ has helped about 800 million people out of extreme poverty, has achieved what, by some measures, is the greatest economic advancement ever.
But warning signs 6.____ (be) out for some years now. The first so - called miracle economy was Japan. However, a real estate bubble, stock market falls, population decline, US export restrictions and economic stagnation showed that miracles do not continue forever. Some economies, like the Republic of Korea and Singapore, made the leap to high income successfully, while others, such as Thailand and Malaysia, have found 7.____ much more difficult. They are still struggling to overcome various challenges 8.____ (relate) to economic development.
It seems that the path of economic development is not always smooth, and different countries need to find 9.____ (they) own ways to adapt to changing global economic situations. As we look to 2025, it will be crucial for these economies to re - evaluate 10.____ strategies and make necessary adjustments.
Passage 2
China needs to navigate through challenges
Of course, the Chinese government has been aware of this challenge for years. When it hosted 1.____ APEC meeting a decade ago, there was much talk about the “middle - income trap”. Today, the real estate problems, the declining labor force, and the slower growth are all signs of a transition. The year 2025 will see this transition 2.____ (continue). Double - digit growth, which was once common, is now 3.____ thing of the past.
Trade has been the key driver of China's growth. It represents a complex interplay of resources, supply chains, and added value in the Asia - Pacific region, 4.____ we now call globalization. However, this trade network has been held together by fragile relationships. These relationships have been further 5.____ (worsen) by the current political instability in Europe, the Middle East, and North America, as well as the huge uncertainty of policy signals from the incoming US president.
This year, China has tried to promote growth by 6.____ (boost) production and exports. This has been so effective that Europe and the US have felt their own businesses are under threat. As a result, political forces in the United States have taken the opportunity to label China as a “strategic danger”. They have implemented targeted sanctions and a defensive industry policy 7.____ (encourage) domestic companies. In response, China has taken economic retaliation measures. Now, all sides are worried about the potential trade wars 8.____ may break out in 2025.
It's clear that the global economic environment is becoming increasingly complex. China, like other countries, needs to carefully consider 9.____ (it) actions and responses. It must find a way to balance its economic development with the changing international political landscape. This will require 10.____ (wise) and strategic decision - making in the coming year.
Passage 3
There has been economic retaliation from China, and now all sides are worried about impending trade wars in 2025.
Students used to listen to professors and lecturers telling them how they could improve the world. But now, the teaching curricula are shifting from David Ricardo’s “win - win” trade policies to the US “win - lose” approach. This new approach includes defensive policies 1.____ (guard) against competitors and aggressive policies to actively damage them. From neo - mercantilism to the weaponization of money, such changes are altering trade relationships and will be a significant theme for the coming year.
Such policies were last used during wartime. During World War II, US economists, using the input - output mapping techniques of Russian - American economist Wassily Leontief, advised the US Air Force on 2.____ to thwart Germany’s war efforts. They identified bottlenecks, such as a couple of ball - bearing plants, 3.____ were key vulnerabilities in many armaments. In the modern context, high - end silicon chips are the equivalent of those ball - bearing plants. They are 4.____ (indispensable) in many electronic devices and have already become a focus for industry policies.
The methods in this “dark toolkit” include export prohibitions, import tariffs, financial sanctions, capital controls, investment restrictions, dual - use regulations, payment embargoes, competition policy, technical standards, and attacks on international rules of the game.
During the Cold War, former US president Dwight Eisenhower was worried about the rise of the “military - industrial complex” 5.____ promoted and benefited from these policies. Today, many high - tech companies are part of this complex. These dark policies are likely to hurt consumers, as Americans are experiencing. However, consumers often have less political power. For years, enterprises in the Asia - Pacific region set up factories where production was most efficient. Now, they are relocating 6.____ (minimize) geopolitical risks. Efficient off - shoring is giving way to “friend - shoring” or “on - shoring”.
This shift in economic strategies reflects the changing geopolitical situation. It also shows that countries need to be more cautious in their economic 7.____ (engage) with each other. The year 2025 will likely see more 8.____ (compete) and tensions in the global economic arena. It is essential for all countries to find ways to cooperate 9.____ (peaceful) while protecting their own interests. Only through such efforts can we hope to maintain a stable and prosperous global economy. Otherwise, the consequences of these trade - related conflicts could be 10.____ (disaster) for the world.
答案
Passage 1
how
helped
making
benefiting
which
have been
it
related
their
their
Passage 2
the
continue
a
which
worsened
boosting
to encourage
that
its
wisdom
Passage 3
to guard
how
which
indispensable
that
to minimize
engagement
competition
peacefully
disastrous